Highest temperature in Singapore on October 16?

Resolves at station WSSS·2026-10-16·Asia/Singapore·Polymarket

Live · last refresh 12:01 AM

Consensus outcome

33°C

3 of 11 models

Model spread

30°C – 33°C

Across market outcome buckets

Latest observed

27.0°C

Oct 16, 7:00 AM

Observed max

29.0°C

On 2026-10-16

7d hit

16%

MAE 1.77° · 77 model-days

Bid scan

Live

Live order book edge for the next two target dates.

Past 7 days

—0/0 wins

Oct 10—

Oct 11—

Oct 12—

Oct 13—

Oct 14—

Oct 15—

Oct 16—

Net P&L (7d)

—

History is tracked locally per browser. Run a bid scan to start populating the strip; wins are resolved automatically once observed maxes for past target dates land.

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Forecast vs observations

Hourly temperature per model, overlaid on observed readings · Target 2026-10-16 · Asia/Singapore

Latest runs

Most recent forecast per model, ranked by predicted max. Accuracy windows are configurable. Open-Meteo keeps hourly data for the top three models by 7-day accuracy; other models receive daily highs and lows.

Window


best_match Daily open_meteo · 10/16/26, 12:01 AM	33.30°C Low 24.20°C	33°C	1.79°7 days	14%7 days
metno_seamless Daily open_meteo · 10/16/26, 12:01 AM	33.30°C Low 24.20°C	33°C	1.79°7 days	14%7 days
cma_grapes_global Hourly open_meteo · 10/16/26, 12:01 AM	32.50°C Low 25.60°C	33°C	1.23°7 days	14%7 days
icon_seamless Daily open_meteo · 10/16/26, 12:01 AM	32.30°C Low 26.20°C	32°C	1.34°7 days	14%7 days
gfs_seamless Hourly open_meteo · 10/16/26, 12:01 AM	31.90°C Low 25.40°C	32°C	1.34°7 days	14%7 days
ecmwf_ifs025 Daily open_meteo · 10/16/26, 12:01 AM	31.70°C Low 24.10°C	32°C	2.31°7 days	0%7 days
gem_seamless Daily open_meteo · 10/16/26, 12:01 AM	31.00°C Low 25.90°C	31°C	1.61°7 days	29%7 days
wu_pws wunderground · 10/16/26, 12:01 AM	31.00°C	31°C	1.14°7 days	29%7 days
ukmo_seamless Hourly open_meteo · 10/16/26, 12:01 AM	30.90°C Low 26.30°C	31°C	1.39°7 days	29%7 days
meteofrance_seamless Daily open_meteo · 10/16/26, 12:01 AM	30.30°C Low 27.60°C	30°C	2.36°7 days	14%7 days
jma_seamless Daily open_meteo · 10/16/26, 12:01 AM	29.50°C Low 25.60°C	30°C	3.21°7 days	0%7 days

Sources

Provider credentials and last successful ingestion. Stale after 90m. Refresh runs hourly via cron.

Provider	Credentials	Last fetch	Status
AccuWeather	pending	—	never
Google Weather	pending	—	never
MetService	public	10/16/26, 12:01 AM	stale
Open-Meteo	public