Poly Weather
Poly Weather
Markets/Wellington

Highest temperature in Wellington on August 16?

Resolves at station NZWN·2026-08-16·Pacific/Auckland·Polymarket

Live · last refresh 6:00 PM
Consensus outcome
10°C
7 of 12 models
Model spread
9°C – 11°C
Across market outcome buckets
Latest observed
9.0°C
Aug 16, 5:00 AM
Observed max
10.0°C
On 2026-08-16
7d hit
20%
MAE 1.18° · 10 model-days

Bid scan

Live

Live order book edge for the next two target dates.

Past 7 days
—0/0 wins
Aug 9—
Aug 10—
Aug 11—
Aug 12—
Aug 13—
Aug 14—
Aug 15—
Net P&L (7d)
—

History is tracked locally per browser. Run a bid scan to start populating the strip; wins are resolved automatically once observed maxes for past target dates land.

No bid scan has run for this city yet.

Forecast vs observations

Hourly temperature per model, overlaid on observed readings · Target 2026-08-16 · Pacific/Auckland

Latest runs

Most recent forecast per model, ranked by predicted max. Accuracy windows are configurable.

Window
cma_grapes_global
open_meteo · 8/15/26, 12:00 PM
10.50°C11°C
0.70°1 day
0%1 day
jma_seamless
open_meteo · 8/15/26, 6:00 PM
10.00°C10°C
0.50°1 day
0%1 day
ukmo_seamless
open_meteo · 8/15/26, 6:00 PM
9.90°C10°C
2.10°1 day
0%1 day
ecmwf_ifs025
open_meteo · 8/15/26, 6:00 PM
9.80°C10°C
1.40°1 day
0%1 day
best_match
open_meteo · 8/15/26, 6:00 PM
9.60°C10°C
0.10°1 day
100%1 day
meteofrance_seamless
open_meteo · 8/15/26, 6:00 PM
9.60°C10°C
0.70°1 day
0%1 day
metno_seamless
open_meteo · 8/15/26, 6:00 PM
9.60°C10°C
0.10°1 day
100%1 day
gem_seamless
open_meteo · 8/15/26, 6:00 PM
9.50°C10°C
3.60°1 day
0%1 day
icon_seamless
open_meteo · 8/15/26, 6:00 PM
9.10°C9°C
1.80°1 day
0%1 day
hourly
metservice · 8/15/26, 6:00 PM
9.00°C9°C——
gfs_seamless
open_meteo · 8/15/26, 6:00 PM
9.00°C9°C
0.80°1 day
0%1 day
wu_pws
wunderground · 8/15/26, 6:00 PM
9.00°C9°C——

Sources

Provider credentials and last successful ingestion. Stale after 90m. Refresh runs hourly via cron.

ProviderCredentialsLast fetchStatus
AccuWeatherpending—never
Google Weatherpending—never
MetServicepublic8/15/26, 6:00 PMok
Open-Meteopublic
8/15/26, 6:00 PM
ok
Tomorrow.iopending—never
Weather Undergroundconfigured8/15/26, 6:00 PMok